Earnings Estimates

Earnings Estimates

Stock Information

Price (Prev Close): 168.88
Price - 52 Week High: 201.50
Price - 52 Week Low: 158.94
Price Date (Latest): 11/22/17
Median Price Target: 189.11
Diff from Prev Close: 20.23
% Difference: 11.98

Analyst Ratings

Mean Recommendation:

2.67

Sell

Strong Buy

Available Measures

Reference Information -

Last Actual (FY0): 14.06
FY0 End Date: 12/1/16
Ind. Annual Div: 3.92
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: 11.96
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: 14.47
Yield (%): 2.32

Analyst Forecasts -

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/19 17.73 18.67 16.94 17.73 6 -- 5 -8.39
Annual 12/1/18 15.80 16.94 15.10 15.60 11 -- 10 -8.67
Annual 12/1/17 13.71 14.52 12.91 13.68 11 -- 10 -6.78
Quarterly 12/1/17 4.02 4.67 3.24 4.01 9 -- 8 -19.52
Quarterly 3/1/18 3.26 3.63 2.79 3.22 5 1 3 3.31
Quarterly 6/1/18 4.01 4.10 3.85 4.04 5 1 3 -3.03
Quarterly 9/1/18 4.05 4.25 3.88 3.98 5 -- 3 -8.84
Long Term Growth 8.75 10.30 7.20 8.75 2 -- 1 -38.86

Actuals -

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/16 14.06 14.26 -1.37
Annual 12/1/15 12.38 12.16 1.83
Annual 12/1/14 11.39 11.11 2.50
Quarterly 9/1/17 3.83 3.94 -2.71
Quarterly 6/1/17 3.35 3.54 -5.25
Quarterly 3/1/17 2.50 2.65 -5.62
Quarterly 12/1/16 4.33 4.44 -2.45

Reference Information - Book Value Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 64.50
FY0 End Date: 12/1/16
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Book Value Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/19 70.95 71.21 70.68 70.95 2 -- 1 -18.68
Annual 12/1/18 66.48 67.66 65.32 66.46 3 -- 3 -6.79
Annual 12/1/17 62.75 64.78 61.60 61.88 3 -- 3 -1.83
Quarterly 12/1/17 61.60 61.60 61.60 61.60 1 -- 1 -0.84
Quarterly 3/1/18 62.32 62.32 62.32 62.32 1 -- 1 -1.96
Quarterly 6/1/18 63.46 63.46 63.46 63.46 1 -- 1 --
Quarterly 9/1/18 64.73 64.73 64.73 64.73 1 -- 1 -6.26

Actuals - Book Value Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/16 64.50 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 61.60 -- --
Annual 12/1/14 62.63 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/17 66.00 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/17 64.81 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/17 65.08 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/16 64.50 -- --

Reference Information - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 15.58
FY0 End Date: 12/1/16
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/19 25.40 25.40 25.40 25.40 1 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/18 22.58 23.80 21.73 22.20 3 -- 3 -21.08
Annual 12/1/17 21.58 23.36 19.96 21.43 3 1 2 -3.39
Quarterly 12/1/17 10.29 20.59 -- 10.29 2 1 -- 37.99
Quarterly 3/1/18 -2.65 -2.65 -2.65 -2.65 1 -- 1 21.46
Quarterly 6/1/18 0.48 0.48 0.48 0.48 1 -- 1 -56.42
Quarterly 9/1/18 5.46 5.46 5.46 5.46 1 -- 1 -124.16

Actuals - Cash Flow Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/16 15.58 17.87 -12.81
Annual 12/1/15 15.37 16.54 -7.07
Annual 12/1/14 18.58 14.25 30.39
Quarterly 9/1/17 2.14 5.24 -59.16
Quarterly 6/1/17 3.25 4.55 -28.49
Quarterly 3/1/17 -5.72 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/16 18.06 -- --

Reference Information - Dividend Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 3.90
FY0 End Date: 12/1/16
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Dividend Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/19 4.97 5.34 4.60 4.97 2 1 -- -7.65
Annual 12/1/18 4.54 5.10 4.00 4.40 6 1 -- -0.69
Annual 12/1/17 4.24 4.40 4.00 4.27 6 1 1 --
Quarterly 12/1/17 1.05 1.10 1.00 1.05 2 1 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 1.10 1.10 1.10 1.10 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 1.10 1.10 1.10 1.10 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 1.10 1.10 1.10 1.10 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Dividend Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/16 3.90 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 3.45 -- --
Annual 12/1/14 2.88 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/17 1.10 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/17 1.10 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/17 1.00 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/16 1.00 -- --

Reference Information - EBIT

Last Actual (FY0): 1,612.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/16
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBIT

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/19 1,880.99 1,992.00 1,785.86 1,878.40 6 -- 5 -9.47
Annual 12/1/18 1,720.57 1,892.70 1,627.00 1,684.33 9 -- 8 -10.23
Annual 12/1/17 1,478.88 1,537.00 1,404.27 1,474.50 9 -- 8 -9.81
Quarterly 12/1/17 409.06 482.00 243.00 421.62 7 -- 5 -22.85
Quarterly 3/1/18 372.07 399.00 323.50 393.70 3 1 1 2.19
Quarterly 6/1/18 443.63 467.10 420.80 443.00 3 -- 2 1.27
Quarterly 9/1/18 454.80 479.50 431.90 453.00 3 -- 2 -2.18

Actuals - EBIT

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/16 1,612.00 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 1,559.00 -- --
Annual 12/1/14 1,475.00 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/17 376.00 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/17 373.00 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/17 310.00 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/16 425.00 -- --

Reference Information - EBITDA

Last Actual (FY0): 2,267.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/16
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBITDA

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/19 2,617.20 2,691.12 2,568.00 2,610.00 5 -- 4 -7.78
Annual 12/1/18 2,416.95 2,568.10 2,305.08 2,410.30 7 -- 7 -7.55
Annual 12/1/17 2,113.82 2,138.76 2,061.27 2,123.00 7 -- 7 -8.54
Quarterly 12/1/17 594.35 646.00 559.62 585.89 4 -- 4 -14.34
Quarterly 3/1/18 541.15 543.40 538.90 541.15 2 -- 1 0.86
Quarterly 6/1/18 610.75 612.70 608.80 610.75 2 -- 1 -1.42
Quarterly 9/1/18 643.01 675.20 610.83 643.01 2 -- 1 -2.05

Actuals - EBITDA

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/16 2,267.00 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 2,227.00 -- --
Annual 12/1/14 2,035.00 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/17 544.00 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/17 529.00 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/17 473.00 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/16 584.00 -- --

Reference Information - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 11.50
FY0 End Date: 12/1/16
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/19 16.96 17.59 16.32 16.97 3 -- 2 --
Annual 12/1/18 14.73 16.10 12.94 14.55 6 -- 5 -8.33
Annual 12/1/17 11.82 12.44 11.27 11.76 6 -- 5 -4.78
Quarterly 12/1/17 3.48 4.77 1.66 3.62 5 1 3 -14.03
Quarterly 3/1/18 2.66 3.08 2.25 2.65 3 -- 1 --
Quarterly 6/1/18 3.65 3.92 3.31 3.71 3 -- 2 -0.23
Quarterly 9/1/18 3.87 4.13 3.37 4.11 3 -- 2 -5.04

Actuals - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/16 11.50 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 9.83 -- --
Annual 12/1/14 8.17 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/17 3.72 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/17 2.52 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/17 2.01 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/16 2.36 -- --

Reference Information - Net Debt

Last Actual (FY0): 3,385.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/16
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Debt

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/19 2,776.37 3,190.00 2,341.90 2,786.80 4 3 -- 20.10
Annual 12/1/18 3,380.55 3,606.46 3,117.20 3,471.00 5 5 -- 25.92
Annual 12/1/17 3,704.46 3,874.00 3,576.00 3,663.64 5 5 -- 7.11
Quarterly 12/1/17 3,783.40 3,783.40 3,783.40 3,783.40 1 1 -- --

Actuals - Net Debt

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/16 3,385.00 1,724.06 96.34
Annual 12/1/15 3,226.00 3,041.58 6.06
Quarterly 9/1/17 4,695.00 4,491.20 4.54
Quarterly 6/1/17 4,360.00 3,953.60 10.28
Quarterly 3/1/17 4,082.00 4,000.80 2.03
Quarterly 12/1/16 3,385.00 3,295.70 2.71

Reference Information - Net Income

Last Actual (FY0): 1,085.99
FY0 End Date: 12/1/16
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/19 1,244.39 1,287.57 1,205.00 1,242.50 4 -- 3 -12.00
Annual 12/1/18 1,135.40 1,279.00 1,079.00 1,111.20 7 -- 6 -11.39
Annual 12/1/17 1,021.46 1,096.00 962.80 1,017.00 7 -- 6 -6.96
Quarterly 12/1/17 294.20 353.00 237.10 293.00 5 -- 4 -20.86
Quarterly 3/1/18 240.80 260.00 221.60 240.80 2 1 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 285.55 293.00 278.10 285.55 2 -- -- -1.56
Quarterly 9/1/18 294.85 302.00 287.70 294.85 2 -- 1 -8.53

Actuals - Net Income

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/16 1,085.99 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 986.69 -- --
Annual 12/1/14 974.00 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/17 283.42 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/17 251.59 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/17 189.80 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/16 330.38 -- --

Reference Information - Operating Profit

Last Actual (FY0): 1,612.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/16
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/19 2,181.10 2,181.10 2,181.10 2,181.10 1 -- -- -4.72
Annual 12/1/18 1,853.88 2,038.30 1,584.33 1,939.00 3 -- 1 -2.87
Annual 12/1/17 1,493.49 1,681.20 1,154.27 1,645.00 3 -- 1 -4.14
Quarterly 12/1/17 504.70 512.00 497.40 504.70 2 -- 1 -1.96

Actuals - Operating Profit

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/16 1,612.00 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/16 425.00 -- --

Reference Information - Return On Equity

Last Actual (FY0): 22.82
FY0 End Date: 12/1/16
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Return On Equity

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/19 23.45 25.70 21.20 23.45 2 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/18 22.45 23.86 20.40 23.10 3 -- 2 -14.19
Annual 12/1/17 20.11 21.70 18.30 20.21 4 -- 3 -8.61
Quarterly 12/1/17 18.30 18.30 18.30 18.30 1 -- 1 -7.10
Quarterly 3/1/18 19.90 19.90 19.90 19.90 1 -- -- -0.50
Quarterly 6/1/18 21.20 21.20 21.20 21.20 1 1 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 20.90 20.90 20.90 20.90 1 -- 1 -0.96

Actuals - Return On Equity

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/16 22.82 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 20.50 -- --
Annual 12/1/14 17.99 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/17 23.91 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/17 21.08 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/17 15.83 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/16 27.03 -- --

Reference Information - Sales

Last Actual (FY0): 20,718.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/16
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/19 22,948.91 23,797.10 21,970.00 22,991.32 6 -- 5 -2.72
Annual 12/1/18 22,152.58 22,836.30 21,194.00 22,162.12 10 -- 9 -1.64
Annual 12/1/17 21,427.04 21,586.80 21,220.00 21,424.92 10 -- 9 -0.77
Quarterly 12/1/17 5,878.15 6,035.80 5,746.90 5,856.59 9 1 7 -1.34
Quarterly 3/1/18 4,979.96 5,097.80 4,891.97 4,959.52 5 2 2 -0.09
Quarterly 6/1/18 5,568.92 5,662.50 5,473.00 5,554.62 5 -- 3 -0.09
Quarterly 9/1/18 5,686.37 5,736.80 5,625.40 5,678.48 5 2 1 -1.16

Actuals - Sales

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/16 20,718.00 20,713.99 0.02
Annual 12/1/15 20,891.00 21,089.95 -0.94
Annual 12/1/14 19,872.00 19,533.45 1.73
Quarterly 9/1/17 5,418.00 5,506.93 -1.61
Quarterly 6/1/17 5,347.00 5,345.02 0.04
Quarterly 3/1/17 4,786.00 4,747.58 0.81
Quarterly 12/1/16 5,656.00 5,642.95 0.23

P/E Ratios

P/E Ratios Company Industry Ind. Relative
FY0 12.32 16.97 0.73
FY1 10.69 49.56 0.22
FY2 9.53 16.21 0.59

EPS Growth Rates

Growth Rates Company Industry Ind. Relative
FY1/FY0 -2.50 -0.63 0.98
FY2/FY1 15.28 6.87 1.08
FY3/FY2 15.28 6.87 1.08

Copyright Thomson Reuters Corporation

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