Earnings Estimates

Earnings Estimates

Stock Information

Price (Prev Close): 167.53
Price - 52 Week High: 201.50
Price - 52 Week Low: 158.94
Price Date (Latest): 1/22/18
Median Price Target: 188.11
Diff from Prev Close: 20.58
% Difference: 12.29

Analyst Ratings

Mean Recommendation:

2.67

Sell

Strong Buy

Available Measures

Reference Information -

Last Actual (FY0): 14.06
FY0 End Date: 12/1/16
Ind. Annual Div: 3.92
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: 11.96
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: 14.47
Yield (%): 2.34

Analyst Forecasts -

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/19 17.56 18.15 16.94 17.66 6 -- 1 --
Annual 12/1/18 15.45 16.65 15.00 15.27 11 1 3 -0.16
Annual 12/1/17 13.61 13.85 12.91 13.64 11 1 3 -0.03
Quarterly 12/1/17 3.93 4.17 3.24 3.97 9 1 2 0.08
Quarterly 3/1/18 3.18 3.63 2.79 3.21 6 -- 1 -0.94
Quarterly 6/1/18 3.94 4.10 3.79 3.91 6 1 3 -0.51
Quarterly 9/1/18 4.03 4.25 3.85 3.96 6 -- 3 -0.37
Long Term Growth 8.75 10.30 7.20 8.75 2 -- 1 -38.86

Actuals -

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/16 14.06 14.26 -1.37
Annual 12/1/15 12.38 12.16 1.83
Annual 12/1/14 11.39 11.11 2.50
Quarterly 9/1/17 3.83 3.94 -2.71
Quarterly 6/1/17 3.35 3.54 -5.25
Quarterly 3/1/17 2.50 2.65 -5.62
Quarterly 12/1/16 4.33 4.44 -2.45

Reference Information - Book Value Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 64.50
FY0 End Date: 12/1/16
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Book Value Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/19 70.95 71.21 70.68 70.95 2 -- 1 -18.68
Annual 12/1/18 66.41 67.45 65.32 66.46 3 -- 1 --
Annual 12/1/17 62.74 64.73 61.60 61.88 3 -- 1 --
Quarterly 12/1/17 61.60 61.60 61.60 61.60 1 -- 1 -0.84
Quarterly 3/1/18 62.32 62.32 62.32 62.32 1 -- 1 -1.96
Quarterly 6/1/18 63.46 63.46 63.46 63.46 1 -- 1 --
Quarterly 9/1/18 64.73 64.73 64.73 64.73 1 -- 1 -6.26

Actuals - Book Value Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/16 64.50 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 61.60 -- --
Annual 12/1/14 62.63 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/17 66.00 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/17 64.81 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/17 65.08 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/16 64.50 -- --

Reference Information - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 15.58
FY0 End Date: 12/1/16
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/19 25.40 25.40 25.40 25.40 1 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/18 22.53 23.67 21.73 22.20 3 -- 1 --
Annual 12/1/17 21.59 23.36 19.97 21.43 3 1 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 10.30 20.60 -- 10.30 2 1 -- 0.13
Quarterly 3/1/18 -2.71 -2.71 -2.71 -2.71 1 -- 1 -14.00
Quarterly 6/1/18 0.52 0.52 0.52 0.52 1 -- 1 -45.58
Quarterly 9/1/18 5.37 5.37 5.37 5.37 1 -- 1 -10.83

Actuals - Cash Flow Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/16 15.58 17.87 -12.81
Annual 12/1/15 15.37 16.54 -7.07
Annual 12/1/14 18.58 14.25 30.39
Quarterly 9/1/17 2.14 5.24 -59.16
Quarterly 6/1/17 3.25 4.55 -28.49
Quarterly 3/1/17 -5.72 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/16 18.06 -- --

Reference Information - Dividend Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 3.90
FY0 End Date: 12/1/16
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Dividend Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/19 4.97 5.34 4.60 4.97 2 1 -- -7.65
Annual 12/1/18 4.54 5.10 4.00 4.40 6 1 -- -0.69
Annual 12/1/17 4.24 4.40 4.00 4.27 6 1 1 --
Quarterly 12/1/17 1.05 1.10 1.00 1.05 2 1 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 1.10 1.10 1.10 1.10 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 1.10 1.10 1.10 1.10 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 1.10 1.10 1.10 1.10 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Dividend Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/16 3.90 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 3.45 -- --
Annual 12/1/14 2.88 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/17 1.10 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/17 1.10 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/17 1.00 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/16 1.00 -- --

Reference Information - EBIT

Last Actual (FY0): 1,612.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/16
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBIT

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/19 1,870.04 1,992.00 1,785.86 1,858.19 6 -- 1 --
Annual 12/1/18 1,701.41 1,892.60 1,627.00 1,677.00 9 -- 2 -0.09
Annual 12/1/17 1,469.80 1,524.70 1,396.26 1,470.60 9 -- 2 -0.06
Quarterly 12/1/17 398.20 465.70 243.00 415.50 7 1 1 --
Quarterly 3/1/18 367.30 399.00 323.50 373.35 4 1 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 441.23 467.10 420.80 438.50 4 1 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 454.60 479.50 431.90 453.50 4 1 -- --

Actuals - EBIT

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/16 1,612.00 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 1,559.00 -- --
Annual 12/1/14 1,475.00 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/17 376.00 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/17 373.00 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/17 310.00 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/16 425.00 -- --

Reference Information - EBITDA

Last Actual (FY0): 2,267.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/16
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBITDA

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/19 2,601.95 2,636.60 2,568.00 2,610.00 5 1 1 -0.34
Annual 12/1/18 2,390.78 2,568.20 2,277.00 2,402.40 8 1 2 -0.05
Annual 12/1/17 2,100.10 2,135.72 2,015.00 2,114.31 8 1 2 -0.05
Quarterly 12/1/17 592.34 646.00 559.62 581.88 4 -- 2 --
Quarterly 3/1/18 541.15 543.40 538.90 541.15 2 -- 1 --
Quarterly 6/1/18 607.63 608.80 606.46 607.63 2 -- 1 --
Quarterly 9/1/18 644.58 675.20 613.97 644.58 2 -- 1 --

Actuals - EBITDA

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/16 2,267.00 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 2,227.00 -- --
Annual 12/1/14 2,035.00 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/17 544.00 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/17 529.00 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/17 473.00 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/16 584.00 -- --

Reference Information - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 11.50
FY0 End Date: 12/1/16
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/19 16.96 17.59 16.32 16.97 3 -- 2 --
Annual 12/1/18 14.38 16.10 12.94 14.35 6 -- 1 --
Annual 12/1/17 11.70 12.10 11.27 11.68 6 -- 1 --
Quarterly 12/1/17 3.32 4.77 1.66 3.53 5 -- 1 --
Quarterly 3/1/18 2.67 3.08 2.25 2.67 4 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 3.62 3.92 3.31 3.62 4 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 3.84 4.13 3.37 3.93 4 -- -- --

Actuals - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/16 11.50 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 9.83 -- --
Annual 12/1/14 8.17 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/17 3.72 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/17 2.52 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/17 2.01 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/16 2.36 -- --

Reference Information - Net Debt

Last Actual (FY0): 3,385.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/16
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Debt

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/19 2,828.84 3,347.45 2,341.90 2,813.00 4 1 -- --
Annual 12/1/18 3,403.18 3,615.88 3,117.20 3,471.00 5 2 -- 0.06
Annual 12/1/17 3,704.97 3,874.00 3,576.00 3,666.63 5 1 1 -0.00
Quarterly 12/1/17 3,783.40 3,783.40 3,783.40 3,783.40 1 1 -- --

Actuals - Net Debt

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/16 3,385.00 1,724.06 96.34
Annual 12/1/15 3,226.00 3,041.58 6.06
Quarterly 9/1/17 4,695.00 4,491.20 4.54
Quarterly 6/1/17 4,360.00 3,953.60 10.28
Quarterly 3/1/17 4,082.00 4,000.80 2.03
Quarterly 12/1/16 3,385.00 3,295.70 2.71

Reference Information - Net Income

Last Actual (FY0): 1,085.99
FY0 End Date: 12/1/16
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/19 1,227.01 1,246.00 1,205.00 1,228.52 4 -- 1 --
Annual 12/1/18 1,102.08 1,146.05 1,079.00 1,104.00 7 -- 2 -0.15
Annual 12/1/17 1,009.66 1,026.90 962.80 1,017.00 7 -- 2 -0.04
Quarterly 12/1/17 282.20 301.90 237.10 293.00 5 -- 1 --
Quarterly 3/1/18 233.53 260.00 219.00 221.60 3 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 284.03 293.00 278.10 281.00 3 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 295.57 302.00 287.70 297.00 3 -- -- --

Actuals - Net Income

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/16 1,085.99 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 986.69 -- --
Annual 12/1/14 974.00 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/17 283.42 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/17 251.59 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/17 189.80 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/16 330.38 -- --

Reference Information - Operating Profit

Last Actual (FY0): 1,612.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/16
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/19 2,181.10 2,181.10 2,181.10 2,181.10 1 -- -- -4.72
Annual 12/1/18 1,776.13 2,038.30 1,570.08 1,720.00 3 -- 1 --
Annual 12/1/17 1,430.82 1,681.20 1,146.26 1,465.00 3 -- 1 --
Quarterly 12/1/17 451.70 497.40 406.00 451.70 2 -- 1 --
Quarterly 3/1/18 353.00 353.00 353.00 353.00 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 434.00 434.00 434.00 434.00 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 454.00 454.00 454.00 454.00 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Operating Profit

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/16 1,612.00 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/16 425.00 -- --

Reference Information - Return On Equity

Last Actual (FY0): 22.82
FY0 End Date: 12/1/16
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Return On Equity

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/19 23.45 25.70 21.20 23.45 2 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/18 22.39 23.67 20.40 23.10 3 -- 1 --
Annual 12/1/17 20.09 21.70 18.30 20.18 4 -- 1 --
Quarterly 12/1/17 18.30 18.30 18.30 18.30 1 -- 1 -7.10
Quarterly 3/1/18 19.90 19.90 19.90 19.90 1 -- -- -0.50
Quarterly 6/1/18 21.20 21.20 21.20 21.20 1 1 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 20.90 20.90 20.90 20.90 1 -- 1 -0.96

Actuals - Return On Equity

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/16 22.82 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 20.50 -- --
Annual 12/1/14 17.99 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/17 23.91 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/17 21.08 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/17 15.83 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/16 27.03 -- --

Reference Information - Sales

Last Actual (FY0): 20,718.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/16
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/19 22,895.54 23,802.60 21,970.00 22,828.48 6 1 1 -0.14
Annual 12/1/18 22,098.43 22,841.80 21,194.00 22,059.41 10 1 2 0.02
Annual 12/1/17 21,407.52 21,591.70 21,220.00 21,375.11 10 1 2 0.03
Quarterly 12/1/17 5,865.04 6,040.70 5,753.00 5,825.20 9 2 2 0.15
Quarterly 3/1/18 4,960.12 5,097.80 4,891.97 4,915.98 6 -- 1 -0.10
Quarterly 6/1/18 5,541.19 5,662.50 5,473.00 5,521.29 6 -- 3 -0.10
Quarterly 9/1/18 5,662.19 5,736.80 5,593.00 5,649.98 6 -- 1 -0.09

Actuals - Sales

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/16 20,718.00 20,713.99 0.02
Annual 12/1/15 20,891.00 21,089.95 -0.94
Annual 12/1/14 19,872.00 19,533.45 1.73
Quarterly 9/1/17 5,418.00 5,506.93 -1.61
Quarterly 6/1/17 5,347.00 5,345.02 0.04
Quarterly 3/1/17 4,786.00 4,747.58 0.81
Quarterly 12/1/16 5,656.00 5,642.95 0.23

P/E Ratios

P/E Ratios Company Industry Ind. Relative
FY0 10.85 51.23 0.21
FY1 9.54 17.47 0.55
FY2 8.73 14.85 0.59

EPS Growth Rates

Growth Rates Company Industry Ind. Relative
FY1/FY0 13.47 6.53 1.07
FY2/FY1 13.68 27.52 0.89
FY3/FY2 13.68 27.52 0.89

Copyright Thomson Reuters Corporation

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