Earnings Estimates

Earnings Estimates

Stock Information

Price (Prev Close): 113.20
Price - 52 Week High: 187.38
Price - 52 Week Low: 102.19
Price Date (Latest): 12/14/18
Median Price Target: 138.00
Diff from Prev Close: 24.80
% Difference: 21.91

Analyst Ratings

Mean Recommendation:

2.91

Sell

Strong Buy

Available Measures

Reference Information -

Last Actual (FY0): 13.74
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: 4.24
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: 7.57
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: 16.03
Yield (%): 3.74

Analyst Forecasts -

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 18.08 19.70 16.90 17.50 5 1 1 -0.13
Annual 12/1/19 15.95 16.90 15.15 16.02 11 2 2 0.14
Annual 12/1/18 14.66 14.75 14.51 14.68 10 2 1 0.11
Quarterly 12/1/18 4.25 4.49 4.11 4.22 8 2 -- 0.44
Quarterly 3/1/19 3.12 3.30 2.98 3.09 6 -- 1 -0.89
Quarterly 6/1/19 3.83 4.21 3.65 3.78 6 -- 1 -0.35
Quarterly 9/1/19 4.10 4.38 3.56 4.19 6 -- 1 -0.72
Long Term Growth 10.23 10.50 9.90 10.30 3 2 -- 7.49

Actuals -

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 13.74 13.66 0.59
Annual 12/1/16 14.06 14.26 -1.37
Annual 12/1/15 12.38 12.16 1.83
Quarterly 9/1/18 4.55 3.76 21.17
Quarterly 6/1/18 3.20 3.69 -13.18
Quarterly 3/1/18 2.81 2.95 -4.76
Quarterly 12/1/17 4.10 3.99 2.66

Reference Information - Book Value Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 59.13
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Book Value Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 53.69 62.45 44.93 53.69 2 -- 1 -4.17
Annual 12/1/19 46.22 52.20 43.19 43.26 3 2 -- 0.00
Annual 12/1/18 37.09 41.62 34.36 35.28 3 2 -- 0.00
Quarterly 12/1/18 38.45 41.62 35.28 38.45 2 -- 1 3.33
Quarterly 3/1/19 42.17 42.17 42.17 42.17 1 -- 1 -4.20
Quarterly 6/1/19 42.40 42.40 42.40 42.40 1 -- 1 -3.70
Quarterly 9/1/19 42.32 42.32 42.32 42.32 1 -- 1 -2.46

Actuals - Book Value Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 59.13 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 64.50 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 61.60 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 36.88 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 36.89 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 60.41 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 59.13 -- --

Reference Information - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 16.99
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 26.65 26.65 26.65 26.65 1 -- -- -5.59
Annual 12/1/19 24.27 25.85 21.59 25.37 3 1 1 -0.02
Annual 12/1/18 16.77 16.77 16.77 16.77 1 -- 1 --
Quarterly 12/1/18 26.87 26.87 26.87 26.87 1 -- 1 --
Quarterly 3/1/19 -11.81 -11.81 -11.81 -11.81 1 1 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 4.56 4.56 4.56 4.56 1 -- 1 --
Quarterly 9/1/19 7.58 7.58 7.58 7.58 1 -- 1 -38.91

Actuals - Cash Flow Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 16.99 21.60 -21.33
Annual 12/1/16 15.58 17.87 -12.81
Annual 12/1/15 15.37 16.54 -7.07
Quarterly 9/1/18 -0.47 9.32 -105.04
Quarterly 6/1/18 1.87 5.75 -67.50
Quarterly 3/1/18 -9.89 -3.50 -182.33
Quarterly 12/1/17 17.89 10.31 73.48

Reference Information - Dividend Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 4.30
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Dividend Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 5.64 6.37 4.90 5.64 2 -- -- -14.64
Annual 12/1/19 4.95 5.62 4.60 4.80 5 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/18 4.56 4.60 4.51 4.55 5 -- -- -1.18
Quarterly 12/1/18 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.15 2 -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 1.20 1.20 1.20 1.20 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 1.20 1.20 1.20 1.20 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 1.20 1.20 1.20 1.20 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Dividend Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 4.30 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 3.90 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 3.45 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 1.15 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 1.15 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 1.10 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 1.10 -- --

Reference Information - EBIT

Last Actual (FY0): 1,451.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBIT

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 1,595.00 1,809.02 1,462.00 1,570.00 5 1 1 -0.11
Annual 12/1/19 1,429.74 1,559.58 1,352.80 1,411.95 8 2 1 -0.06
Annual 12/1/18 1,353.21 1,499.36 1,320.00 1,331.95 8 2 -- 0.10
Quarterly 12/1/18 374.39 423.36 353.00 361.95 6 1 -- 0.49
Quarterly 3/1/19 293.53 309.00 278.10 293.50 3 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 340.27 351.00 332.50 337.30 3 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 349.10 377.80 325.00 344.50 3 -- -- --

Actuals - EBIT

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 1,451.00 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 1,612.00 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 1,559.00 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 332.00 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 343.00 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 295.00 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 392.00 -- --

Reference Information - EBITDA

Last Actual (FY0): 2,105.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBITDA

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 2,239.94 2,405.00 2,124.00 2,206.40 5 1 1 -0.11
Annual 12/1/19 2,060.14 2,215.00 1,991.40 2,044.00 8 2 1 -0.05
Annual 12/1/18 1,987.89 2,020.36 1,963.00 1,985.62 8 2 -- 0.07
Quarterly 12/1/18 523.68 559.36 502.00 519.85 6 2 -- 0.36
Quarterly 3/1/19 449.95 452.31 447.10 450.20 4 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 491.53 498.40 485.20 491.27 4 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 505.25 526.40 470.00 512.31 4 -- -- --

Actuals - EBITDA

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 2,105.00 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 2,267.00 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 2,227.00 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 484.00 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 505.00 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 472.00 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 559.00 -- --

Reference Information - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 4.70
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 16.54 17.50 15.90 16.22 3 1 -- 0.30
Annual 12/1/19 14.91 16.65 13.84 14.78 7 2 -- 0.13
Annual 12/1/18 -2.13 -1.04 -3.19 -1.73 7 1 -- -0.94
Quarterly 12/1/18 3.27 4.38 2.13 3.44 6 1 -- 0.81
Quarterly 3/1/19 2.82 2.92 2.65 2.89 3 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 3.47 3.50 3.42 3.50 3 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 3.67 4.16 3.23 3.61 3 -- -- --

Actuals - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 4.70 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 11.50 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 9.83 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 3.22 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 -9.50 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 1.30 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 -3.74 -- --

Reference Information - Net Debt

Last Actual (FY0): 4,022.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Debt

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 4,241.35 5,317.05 3,517.00 3,890.00 3 1 -- --
Annual 12/1/19 4,543.80 6,691.00 3,007.56 4,283.00 6 2 -- 0.06
Annual 12/1/18 4,739.97 4,981.08 4,589.00 4,702.25 5 1 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 4,708.25 4,827.50 4,589.00 4,708.25 2 1 -- -2.53
Quarterly 3/1/19 5,246.00 5,246.00 5,246.00 5,246.00 1 1 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 5,236.70 5,236.70 5,236.70 5,236.70 1 1 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 5,171.10 5,171.10 5,171.10 5,171.10 1 1 -- --

Actuals - Net Debt

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 4,022.00 3,685.28 9.14
Annual 12/1/16 3,385.00 1,724.06 96.34
Annual 12/1/15 3,226.00 3,041.58 6.06
Quarterly 9/1/18 6,149.00 5,492.70 11.95
Quarterly 6/1/18 5,782.00 5,542.00 4.33
Quarterly 3/1/18 4,841.00 4,795.80 0.94
Quarterly 12/1/17 4,022.00 3,687.20 9.08

Reference Information - Net Income

Last Actual (FY0): 1,023.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 1,066.25 1,102.00 1,024.00 1,072.76 3 -- 1 --
Annual 12/1/19 996.38 1,057.00 951.00 997.02 7 1 1 -0.20
Annual 12/1/18 988.01 997.30 977.82 987.90 6 1 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 277.73 293.00 265.00 276.00 5 -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 200.25 207.00 193.50 200.25 2 -- 1 -8.44
Quarterly 6/1/19 235.00 241.00 229.00 235.00 2 -- 1 -3.70
Quarterly 9/1/19 244.30 266.60 222.00 244.30 2 -- 1 -6.53

Actuals - Net Income

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 1,023.00 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 1,085.99 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 986.69 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 296.85 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 221.12 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 202.67 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 297.33 -- --

Reference Information - Operating Profit

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 2,373.00 2,373.00 2,373.00 2,373.00 1 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 1,501.76 1,751.62 1,251.90 1,501.76 2 1 -- --
Annual 12/1/18 182.50 182.50 182.50 182.50 1 1 -- --

Actuals - Operating Profit

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/16 1,612.00 -- --

Reference Information - Return On Equity

Last Actual (FY0): 23.09
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Return On Equity

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 33.40 36.50 30.30 33.40 2 1 -- 14.82
Annual 12/1/19 33.66 35.08 32.60 33.30 3 1 1 0.01
Annual 12/1/18 17.58 29.07 -8.50 24.87 4 2 -- 0.00
Quarterly 12/1/18 -8.50 -8.50 -8.50 -8.50 1 -- 1 --
Quarterly 3/1/19 -3.80 -3.80 -3.80 -3.80 1 -- 1 --
Quarterly 6/1/19 29.00 29.00 29.00 29.00 1 1 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 29.10 29.10 29.10 29.10 1 1 -- --

Actuals - Return On Equity

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 23.09 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 22.82 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 20.50 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 12.48 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 6.61 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 19.10 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 26.58 -- --

Reference Information - Sales

Last Actual (FY0): 21,253.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 21,088.00 22,335.00 19,977.00 20,889.30 5 -- 2 -0.09
Annual 12/1/19 20,904.76 21,692.00 19,837.00 21,010.58 10 1 3 0.01
Annual 12/1/18 21,127.17 21,233.40 21,044.42 21,105.85 10 1 1 0.02
Quarterly 12/1/18 5,758.84 5,857.00 5,667.42 5,745.25 8 1 1 -0.03
Quarterly 3/1/19 4,728.07 4,828.02 4,584.00 4,714.00 5 -- 1 -0.19
Quarterly 6/1/19 5,084.49 5,333.20 4,926.60 5,028.40 5 -- 1 -0.28
Quarterly 9/1/19 5,188.69 5,325.06 4,942.00 5,247.40 5 -- 1 0.28

Actuals - Sales

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 21,253.00 21,387.45 -0.63
Annual 12/1/16 20,718.00 20,713.99 0.02
Annual 12/1/15 20,891.00 21,089.95 -0.94
Quarterly 9/1/18 5,326.00 5,340.41 -0.27
Quarterly 6/1/18 5,140.00 5,289.00 -2.82
Quarterly 3/1/18 4,911.00 4,952.02 -0.83
Quarterly 12/1/17 5,702.00 5,837.41 -2.32

P/E Ratios

P/E Ratios Company Industry Ind. Relative
FY0 7.72 53.56 0.14
FY1 7.10 20.63 0.34
FY2 6.26 16.86 0.37

EPS Growth Rates

Growth Rates Company Industry Ind. Relative
FY1/FY0 6.67 -20.78 1.35
FY2/FY1 8.80 23.08 0.88
FY3/FY2 8.80 23.08 0.88

Copyright Thomson Reuters Corporation

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